42.3736° N · 71.1097° W Cambridge, Massachusetts

Haonan Tian

田浩南

Master in Public Policy Candidate · Harvard Kennedy School

Who blocks, who stands behind the blocker, and what international institutions can still decide.

I am a Master in Public Policy candidate at Harvard Kennedy School. I study how international organizations decide, what their veto rules actually do, and how the Arctic is governed as it opens to the world.

BERING STRAITMURMANSK90° N
Plate I · The Arctic in polar projection, with the Northern Sea Route

NowNovember 2026

Writing
A Policy Analysis Exercise for WWF on Chinese shipping and environmental risk in the Bering Strait.
Researching
Who stands behind the member that blocks, when one objection is enough.
Teaching
Policy and Social Innovations for the Changing Arctic, as course assistant.
Leading
The Greater China Society at Harvard Kennedy School.

Where I have photographedWhere my research looks

Select a place to open its photographs.

FijiTanzaniaW. SaharaCanadaUnited States of AmericaKazakhstanUzbekistanPapua New GuineaIndonesiaArgentinaChileDem. Rep. CongoSomaliaKenyaSudanChadHaitiDominican Rep.RussiaBahamasFalkland Is.NorwayGreenlandFr. S. Antarctic LandsTimor-LesteSouth AfricaLesothoMexicoUruguayBrazilBoliviaPeruColombiaPanamaCosta RicaNicaraguaHondurasEl SalvadorGuatemalaBelizeVenezuelaGuyanaSurinameFranceEcuadorPuerto RicoJamaicaCubaZimbabweBotswanaNamibiaSenegalMaliMauritaniaBeninNigerNigeriaCameroonTogoGhanaCôte d'IvoireGuineaGuinea-BissauLiberiaSierra LeoneBurkina FasoCentral African Rep.CongoGabonEq. GuineaZambiaMalawiMozambiqueeSwatiniAngolaBurundiIsraelLebanonMadagascarPalestineGambiaTunisiaAlgeriaJordanUnited Arab EmiratesQatarKuwaitIraqOmanVanuatuCambodiaThailandLaosMyanmarVietnamNorth KoreaSouth KoreaMongoliaIndiaBangladeshBhutanNepalPakistanAfghanistanTajikistanKyrgyzstanTurkmenistanIranSyriaArmeniaSwedenBelarusUkrainePolandAustriaHungaryMoldovaRomaniaLithuaniaLatviaEstoniaGermanyBulgariaGreeceTurkeyAlbaniaCroatiaSwitzerlandLuxembourgBelgiumNetherlandsPortugalSpainIrelandNew CaledoniaSolomon Is.New ZealandAustraliaSri LankaChinaTaiwanItalyDenmarkUnited KingdomIcelandAzerbaijanGeorgiaPhilippinesMalaysiaBruneiSloveniaFinlandSlovakiaCzechiaEritreaJapanParaguayYemenSaudi ArabiaN. CyprusCyprusMoroccoEgyptLibyaEthiopiaDjiboutiSomalilandUgandaRwandaBosnia and Herz.MacedoniaSerbiaMontenegroKosovoTrinidad and TobagoS. Sudan

About

Cambridge, MA · 42.37° N

My work sits where the formal rules of international institutions meet the politics that hide behind them.

At Harvard Kennedy School I concentrate in International and Global Affairs, with a focus on data and research methods. My research asks who ends up exercising a veto, who stays out of sight behind the member that blocks, and how the composition of a deciding body changes what it is willing to ask of others. Much of it is on the UN Security Council, where elected members rotate on a fixed calendar and so offer a rare view of an institution responding to who is in the room.

A second line of work concerns the Arctic. It began with a semester of Arctic studies at the University of Lapland and a dissertation, mentored at Oxford, on the legal and geopolitical obstacles to commercial shipping on the Northern Sea Route. At Harvard I am a research assistant with the Belfer Center’s Arctic Initiative, a course assistant for Policy and Social Innovations for the Changing Arctic, and I am writing my Policy Analysis Exercise for the WWF Global Arctic Programme on Chinese shipping and environmental risk in the Bering Strait.

I hold degrees from Duke University and Duke Kunshan University, and studied Philosophy, Politics and Economics at Oxford as a visiting student. Before Harvard I worked in the World Economic Forum’s Beijing office. I was a Rhodes Scholarship finalist for China in 2025. This year I serve as president of the Greater China Society at Harvard Kennedy School.

Away from research, I photograph the places this work takes me.

  • International organizations
  • Institutional design and veto rules
  • UN Security Council
  • Arctic governance
  • Causal inference from institutional calendars

Research

Two themes, one question: what rules do to power.

Working papers

  • Lightning Rods: Visible Blockers and Hidden Opposition under Unanimity 2026 work in progress
    Abstract

    Under any rule that lets one member block, the record shows who chose to be seen blocking, not who opposed. Evidence from the United Kingdom's exit from the European Union and from Security Council vetoes.

  • The Return of Privateering: How Russia Governs Its Hackers 2026 working paper
    Abstract

    Like the privateers of earlier centuries, Russia's hacking groups serve the state while answering to it only loosely. How does the Russian state manage the hackers it tolerates and uses, and when do these privateers stay loyal, slip their leash or turn against it?

  • Permission without Participation: Veto Reach across Routes to Change in the Founding Treaties of International Organizations 2026 working paper
    Abstract

    When a member can veto an amendment, can it also veto the outcome if others leave and build a successor? A census of amendment rules in 76 organizations and eight predecessor–successor episodes.

  • Three Wars, Not a Continent: Revisiting the Violent Consequences of the USAID Shutdown with Linda Wang · 2026 work in progress
    Abstract

    A country-by-country reexamination of the link between the 2025 aid cuts and armed conflict in Africa.

Thesis

  • Opening the Northern Sea Route for Commercial Shipping: ChallengesDissertation. Mentor: Sir Malcolm D. Evans, University of Oxford · 2025
    Abstract

    Taking the route recommended by China's Maritime Safety Administration as its baseline, the dissertation weighs the legal and geopolitical obstacles to commercial transit of the Northern Sea Route: disputes over international straits, Russia's historic-waters and straight-baseline claims, and the demands of marine environmental protection.

The record of a veto shows who was willing to be seen saying no, not everyone who stood behind it.

Policy and Professional Work

Where the research meets practice

Teaching

Harvard's first course on the Arctic

  • 2026–27Policy and Social Innovations for the Changing ArcticCourse Assistant · Harvard Kennedy School · with Halla Hrund Logadóttir

Education

Durham · Kunshan · Oxford · Rovaniemi · Seoul · Cambridge

Honours

  • 2025Rhodes Scholarship Finalist, China Constituency
  • International Trade Policy Fellow, Duke Global Policy
  • 2023, 2025Dean's List

Chinese (native), English (fluent), Russian (elementary). R and Python.

Contact

Letters, questions and invitations are welcome.

haonan_tian@hks.harvard.edu

Harvard Kennedy School
79 John F. Kennedy Street, Cambridge, MA 02138